Chaotic period gaming failure, night deployment of the core button, can significantly reduce the extent of losses

Market Overview [Taogu Ba]

(1) The AI application sector diverged again, with funds continuously targeting the computing power sector for two days, which drove the electricity sector.
(2) At 9:25 AM, funds focused on computing power, with multiple related stocks hitting the daily limit.
(3) Tefa Information surged strongly to the limit, Wangsu Technology showed strength, and Litong Electronics did not hit the limit.
(4) During the bidding, AI and media-related stocks underperformed expectations, leading to sector weakness.
(5) The chemical sector showed divergence, with the chemical sector and related stocks weakening today.
(6) The market support level is 4122 points, with the lowest point today at 4124 points, closing in the red but turning green at the close.
(7) The market is in a volume contraction phase, with sector sustainability remaining weak.

2. Sentiment Cycle
   (1) Cycle: Chaotic period, Day 8.
   (2) Sentiment: Average profit effect, explosive loss effect.

3. Leading Funds
   (1) Quantitative (GJD).
   (2) Institutional (GJD).
   (3) Foreign capital.

4. Timing
   (1) Hengdian’s one-word suppression, Baichuan’s bidding far below expectations, indicating that today’s moves in these two sectors (including related sectors) will be large and comprehensive.
   (2) Dawi’s strong one-word move, today’s computing power (related to electricity) and liquid cooling exploded, with substantial gains.

5. Continuous Board Tiers

600589 Dawi Technology 9:25 4 Computing Power
603533 Zhangyue Technology 9:25 4 AI Applications
002323 Yabo Shares 9:37 4 Photovoltaic
605287 Decai Shares 15:00 4 AI Applications
000070 Tefa Information 10:04 3 Optical Communications
001896 Yunnan Energy Holdings 9:25 2 Computing Power
605033 Meibang Shares 9:25 2 Chemical
600397 Jiangwu Equipment 9:30 2 Non-ferrous Metals
002951 Jinshi Technology 9:36 2 Optical Communications
603256 Honghe Technology 9:38 2 Fiberglass
605006 Shandong Fiberglass 9:41 2 Fiberglass
603138 Haoliang Data 10:19 2 Computing Power
002080 Zhongcai Technology 13:49 2 Fiberglass
002378 Zhangyuan Tungsten 14:02 2 Non-ferrous Metals
000962 Dongfang Tantalum 14:44 2 Non-ferrous Metals
002842 Xianglu Tungsten 14:44 2 Non-ferrous Metals
600545 Zhuolang Intelligent 14:48 2 Fiberglass

6. Stock Selection
   6.1 Leading Stocks
   None.
   6.2 First Market
   None.
   6.3 First Topic
   (1) Dawi Technology (Computing Power).
   (2) Zhangyue Technology, Decai Shares (AI Applications, choose one, no clear leader yet).
   (3) Yabo Shares (Photovoltaic, strictly speaking, not the first topic, the core sector remains GCL-Poly).
   (4) Tefa Information (Optical Communications, strictly speaking, not the first topic, the core sector remains Hang Electric).
   6.4 Hot Sectors & Core Targets
   (1) Computing Power + Data Centers
   Core: Dawi Technology.
   Tool: Yunnan Energy Holdings.
   (2) Liquid Cooling
   Rabbit: Dayuan Pump.
   Turtle: Chuanyun Shares.
   (3) Smart Grid
   Jin Control Power, Wangbian Electric.
   (4) Non-ferrous Metals
   Jiangwu Equipment, Zhangyuan Tungsten.
   (5) Fiberglass Cloth
   Honghe Technology, Shandong Fiberglass.
   (6) Optical Communications
   Core: Tefa Information.
   (7) Robotics
   East China CNC, Rifa Precision.
   (8) AI Applications
   Core: Zhangyue Technology.
   (9) Photovoltaic
   Core: Yabo Shares.
   (10) Chemical
   Core: Baichuan Shares.
   Front runner: Meibang Shares.

7. Stock Purchases
   None.

8. Positions
   None.

9. Selling
   (1) Sell GCL-Poly via bidding.
   (2) Sell Guangxian Media via bidding.

10. Tomorrow’s Plan
    10.1 Core Principles
    (1) Keep the main line fuzzy, do not insist on the leader; respect the cycle, adapt flexibly.
    (2) Set the direction first, then choose entry points; control risk first, then seek returns.
    (3) Lurk for rotation, strictly control trial and error; avoid chasing false heat, prevent huge losses.
    10.2 Review Today’s Stock Pool (Zhangyue Technology, Longyun Shares, Huanrui Century)
    (1) Zhangyue Technology: One-word limit, can buy if night trading.
    (2) Longyun Shares: Bidding far below expectations, remove.
    (3) Huanrui Century: Bidding far below expectations, remove.
    10.3 Tomorrow’s Stock Pool & Strategy (Dawi Technology, Zhangyue Technology, Yabo Shares, Tefa Information, Honghe Technology)
    (1) Dawi Technology: Expect opening gap, higher probability of breaking the board than upgrading.
    (2) Zhangyue Technology: Expect opening gap, higher probability of breaking the board than upgrading.
    (3) Yabo Shares: Continue weak to strong, optimistic about upgrading.
    (4) Tefa Information: If Dawi doesn’t perform well, proceed cautiously.
    (5) Honghe Technology: Continue weak to strong as expected.
    10.4 Position Management
    None.

11 Mode Summary
11.1 Static Stock Selection
Pre-market stock selection must follow concepts like “prefer new over old,” “more consecutive limit-ups than reversals,” “highness before strength,” “core priority,” “front row over back row,” etc.
Yesterday’s pre-market subjective selection only chose AI media, somewhat偏, leading to no action today, only passive cash.
11.2 Timing Operations
Timing looks for turning points: leader’s limit-down the next day, index drops significantly the next day, ice point days, are good entry points.
Today’s bidding leader A’s decline feels like recession; holding back is correct.
11.3 Intraday Stock Selection
(1) Intraday selection is a necessary supplement and correction to static selection, following principles like “bidding exceeds expectations,” “first to IPO,” “core sector focus,” “good stocks must be抢,” “look at A, do A,” etc., strictly follow “patience, one shot to hit.”
(2) Prioritize stocks with high market recognition.
(3) Observe core stocks’ bidding and opening trends across sectors.
(4) Choose new stocks, not old.
(5) Choose high, not low.
(6) Choose strong, not weak.
(7) Choose high, not just strong.
11.4 Stock Buying Issues
Buying stocks is the implementation of trading plans; at low positions, must “buy stronger,” at high positions, practice “weak to strong” buying points.
11.5 Holding Stocks
Holding stocks is an integral part of trading mode; holdings must follow “early strong and firm” concept. Early strong and firm means closing limit before 10:00, with smooth intraday trend and large orders; no breakouts after 10:00, strong orders at close. The core logic is to gain high premium the next day; violating this means no logical basis for holding.
11.6 Selling Stocks
Follow “sell from strong to weak” principle. Be prepared to sell if:
(1) Bidding gains less than yesterday or below market expectations.
(2) Opening drop exceeds 3 points, not as expected.
(3) First wave gains less than 3 points.
(4) First wave hits limit but cannot close the board or nearly touch the limit.
(5) Second wave fails to surpass first wave high.
(6) Intraday pullback below moving averages, cannot re-establish within 10 minutes.
(7) Breaks limit and falls back more than 7 points, cannot recover within 10 minutes.
(8) Breaks limit and falls back more than 4 points, cannot recover within 3 minutes.
(9) Weak tail stocks.
(10) During chaotic periods, stocks that fail to upgrade after being core (excluding core stocks), use night trading as a trigger.
(11) During chaotic periods, core stocks that break the board and fail to strengthen the next day, use night trading as a trigger.
11.7 Error Correction
Selling prematurely is normal; the key is overcoming psychological barriers, requiring deliberate training. Follow “divergence to consensus”: e.g., if disciplined to take profit when breaking the board and falling more than 7 points, but later due to index, sentiment, sector divergence, turn to consensus, then decisively buy back. Many find this hard; fundamentally, it’s about breaking psychological barriers.
12 Painful Lessons
(1) During recession, must clear all so-called leaders immediately; suppression is highly probable, catching the bottom is unlikely!
(2) Those sudden爆发 are just补涨, a wave of false prosperity created by funds; when leaders fall, these junk stocks are worthless.
(3) Recession usually lasts 3 days, at most 5 days.
(4) During recession, keep at least 3 days of cash!
(5) Clearly distinguish recession from strong divergence periods. During recession, leaders are suppressed on the same day, no escape; next day, continue limit-down. The strongest补涨 may break the board and fall back, with some room for封板, but likely to dip the next day. During strong divergence, leaders turn over fully on the same day, sometimes with a limit-down at the end, but the next day, they tend to weaken and rebound (with strong/weak distinction); many thematic stocks补涨, leading to大幅分化, funds prefer weak stocks to stay strong, leaving some survivors; survivors may weakly转强, continue to rise, leading funds to warm up.
(6) After recession, it’s chaos, a fan rotation market, with themes like semiconductors (chips), smart grids, robotics, chemicals, precious metals,消费, commercial航天, AI applications, each rotating daily over 2 sectors.
(7) Chaos market is a structural行情, showing “two good days, one bad day, advance two, retreat one,” normal fluctuations. Hot sectors lack持续性, but core themes will see repeated资金活跃.
(8) Chaos is like打地鼠, strong today, follow today, cash out tomorrow; correct rhythm is a bull market, wrong rhythm is a bear market.
(9) Transition from chaos to strength has high success rate; from chaos to weakness, low success rate.
(10) Transition from decline to chaos requires a冰点 switch; similarly, from chaos to main升期, also needs a冰点 switch.
(11) Ultra-short operations focus on today buy, tomorrow sell,去弱留强, avoid左侧低吸, prefer weak to strong, stronger to更强.
(12) During chaos, reduce participation in stocks with 3 or more limit-ups (excluding core sectors), as they risk补跌.
(13) During chaos, stocks with 3+ limit-ups (excluding core sectors), if failed today, use night trading as a trigger.
(14) After hours, stocks with重大利空, use night trading as a trigger.

13 Acknowledgments
Thanks again to the Zhijia Army for their concerted effort, continuously delivering 15 high-quality posts, very powerful! The Zhijia team is growing stronger, their combat effectiveness increasing!
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