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During a sharp decline, the entire market is filled with negative news: institutional bankruptcies, regulatory investigations, black whales washing out. You get scared and wake up in the middle of the night to cut your losses.
During a big rally, the whole network is full of positive news: ETF approvals, big players entering, rate cuts and liquidity injections. You get so excited that you immediately go all-in chasing the high.
In reality, news is never meant to predict the market.
News is the explanation written by the market makers after the trend has already played out, to justify what has happened.
You think you're staying up late on social media to catch the information edge, but what you're really consuming are emotional catalysts precisely fed to you by others' millions in PR expenses.
When you're arguing fiercely in the group about non-farm payrolls and CPI, the script for the candlestick patterns has already been written.
Retail investors are always a step behind because you're still watching the show, while others are writing the script.