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The market is revisiting expectations regarding US monetary policy. Amid rising oil prices, inflationary pressures are intensifying, and investors have already reduced the likelihood of a second Federal Reserve rate cut this year to approximately 50%.
🛢 The increase in West Texas Intermediate (WTI) automatically fuels inflation expectations — energy resources impact transportation, manufacturing, and consumer prices.
🟡 In response, capital is flowing into gold and other precious metals as a hedge against inflation and macroeconomic uncertainty.
📉 Lower chances of rate cuts mean:• a stronger dollar• pressure on risk assets• increased volatility in the stock and crypto markets
💡 If oil remains at high levels, the Fed may adopt a more cautious stance. However, if the energy market stabilizes, expectations for policy easing could quickly return.
📊 The key question now is: what will be the next driver — inflation or economic slowdown? #PreciousMetalsAndOilPricesSurge