ETH Swing Structure (1H)

Trend Judgment

After rebounding from the 1906 low point
ETH experienced a rapid surge
peaking at 2021

Then it retreated again.

Current price movement:

1980 — 2000 range

Overall belongs to:

A rebound phase within a bearish trend
Not a trend reversal

Still consistent with your previous core logic.

Reasons (structure has not changed)
① High-Low Point Structure

Currently still:

Previous high 2086

Rebound high point 2021

Clearly:

High points are still declining

Structure remains unchanged.

② Moving Average Structure

1H moving average status:

MA still trending downward

Price just touched the moving average resistance

Unable to stabilize above

Indicates:

Rebound encountering resistance

③ BOLL Status

Upper band starting to flatten

Middle band suppresses price

Price falls again

Belongs to:

Rebound exhaustion signal

④ MACD

Red bars beginning to shorten

Momentum weakening

Approaching a death cross

Indicates:

Rebound momentum has ended

Market State

Current rhythm is:

Downtrend → Rebound → Reassess direction

And now:

Rebound is nearing its end

Key Levels
Resistance Zone

2000 — 2020 (Core Resistance)

This is:

Previous structural resistance

BOLL upper band

MA resistance

Belongs to:

The area most likely for institutions to open short positions

Strong resistance

2050

If broken through here
The bearish structure will be broken.

Support Zone

1950 (short-term support)

1906 (previous low)

1880 (key level)

Trading Strategy
✔️ Main idea (trend-following)

2000 — 2020 range

Wait for:

Upper shadow

Stalled rally

Fake breakout

Prioritize short positions.

Short Plan

Entry:
2000 — 2015

Stop-loss:
2035

Targets:

TP1: 1950
TP2: 1906
TP3: 1880

✔️ Secondary idea (short-term long)

Only if a pullback occurs:

1900 — 1920

and a bottoming structure appears

then short-term long is allowed.

Target:

Around 1950
Quick in and out only. #比特币重回跌势