Everyone, I've consistently defined this rally that started from 60k as a rebound. After the rebound ends, BTC will continue to decline — this is a view I've emphasized repeatedly.

To be honest, I truly hope I'm wrong this time. The continuous decline over the past six months has maxed out everyone's expectations for "the end of the bear market and the start of the bull market." I completely understand that kind of agony, because I've experienced two difficult bear markets like this. But reality is often cruel — the bear market process might only be halfway through, and it won't be gentler to us just because of our expectations.

Since the August 2025 update, I have publicly predicted and basically captured almost every major and minor level of fluctuation in BTC and ETH. The facts prove that I've been right most of the time.

Because of this, perhaps one day in the future when I do make a mistake, the real challenge will just be beginning.

I need to calm down, review each step of my logic, dig out the holes in my thinking, and continuously adapt to the market's new changes. Even a trader with a very high hit rate must always maintain humility, because the market is always smarter than us, and true growth often lies hidden in those errors that make us uncomfortable. Allow for mistakes but not for repeated ones. Over time, every trade will make us stronger.

Let's get through the bear market together in 2026. Hopefully everyone will still be here in 2028. Those who can persevere will definitely reap great rewards. I've already experienced two bull-bear cycles, and I believe the third one won't be any different.

#btc #eth #XAU $BTC ‌$ETH ‌$XAUT ‌