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Crypto Scholar: Bitcoin at 75998 on 3.19 - Topped and Crashed! Daily Cloud Cover Pattern, Pullbacks Are Opportunities to Go South! Latest Market Analysis and Trading Perspective
Bitcoin current price: 71300. The essence of trading is following the trend, cutting losses, and not holding losing long positions at 73600—this will only lead to deeper losses. Those who decisively cut losses and reversed to short have already recovered their losses. Don't fight the trend head-on. Preserving capital is always more important than stubbornly holding and waiting for recovery! Many people are panicking—either stubbornly holding or blindly catching falling knives. I decisively cut losses at 73600, which isn't backing down but basic trading discipline. Preserving capital allows us to seize the next opportunity. The current chart is very clear: short-term weakness but not extreme crash territory. Stay steady and don't let emotions drive your decisions!
Daily high formed a top; pullback trend established. From the 75998 high with volume, a daily drop exceeding 3.5% on a bearish candle. The K-line formed a cloud cover and large bearish candle combination, completely breaking through the key 74000 support, confirming short-term top signal. Daily K-line still trades above the 69706 Bollinger Band midline, but MACD red histogram rapidly shrinking, DIF turning downward indicates bull momentum severely weakened, bears now dominating. With sellers already breaking below EMA15/30 short-term moving averages, the 74000-75000 zone above transforms from support to strong resistance, while strong support below adjusts to 70000 and 71000 levels.
Four-hour sharp drop followed by weak oscillation; rebounds are shorting windows. After sharp drop, temporarily stabilizing near 71000, currently in weak oscillation. EMA15, 30, and 60 form bearish alignment, price firmly pressed below the midline. Any rebound here can be defined as bull trap. MACD volume indicator green histogram continuously expanding, KDJ at low level dulled, indicating short-term bear momentum still releasing. After oversold conditions, minor bounce possible. Key focus on upper resistance 72000-72500 and lower support 70800-71200. High probability of range oscillation within this zone.
Short-term perspective reference: Markets have no certainty, always use stops for safety. Targeting small losses for big gains is the goal.
Lower bounce from 70800 to 70400 northbound, stop-loss 70000, target 72000-72200—this is betting on oversold bounce, not trend-following buy. Recommend controlling position size, tight stops, quick entry and exit!
Upper short from 72000-72500 southbound, stop-loss 73000, target 71200-71000. If price breaks below 71000, continue watching 70500-70000 level.
In crypto, early adopters eat meat, late adopters drink soup, and the unaware take the bags.
Actual trades follow real-time order flow. For more updates, contact the author. Articles have publication delays; use only as reference. Trade at your own risk. #SEC与CFTC新监管指引 $BTC