I just analyzed several forecasts regarding when the crypto bull run will actually kick off this year, and a fascinating story emerges.

Many analysts point to the first half of 2026 as the turning point. Some specifically mention Q1 — January to March — as a possible start of a broader upward trend. Raoul Pal and other macroeconomic voices predict that if current conditions persist, the cycle's peak could occur around June.

The history of Bitcoin halving in April 2024 provides an interesting context here. Traditionally, a bull run appears 12-18 months after the halving, which aligns precisely with the first to second half of 2026. Coincidence or not, the numbers match.

What could drive this movement? Primarily, further interest rate cuts if they materialize. Then, regulatory clarity — something the market is waiting for. Greater institutional involvement will also be important. And new narratives around tokenization and AI projects in crypto could be the fresh air the market needs.

But here’s the catch — not every coin moves at the same pace. Bitcoin may lead, while altcoins could behave quite differently. Some analysts suggest that for certain assets, the bull run might be delayed, or we might still see consolidation. Everything depends on liquidity and where the money flows.

Summary: when will the crypto bull run truly ignite? It seems that right now, in the first half of 2026, we have a chance to see it. The potential peak could be around mid-year. But the market will write the final story — volatility and real fundamentals will determine how it unfolds.

BTC now at 66.86K (+0.67%), SOL 83.27 (+1.88%), ETH 2.04K (+2.10%). It’s worth keeping an eye on these levels.