# BitcoinPriceAnalysis

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BTC hit a six-month low, falling below $100K, with over $2B in liquidations across the market. How long do you think this correction will last — time to buy the dip or stay cautious?

NewbiePlaysBlockchain

1h ago

#比特币价格分析 Seeing this wave of market analysis, I am reminded of a frequently overlooked phenomenon — even long-term holders are using covered call options to lock in gains. On the surface, it appears to be a prudent strategy, but the underlying structure warrants our deep reflection.
Whales sell call options to collect premiums, while market makers hedge their risks by selling in the spot market, creating an interesting paradox: ETF demand is strong, yet prices are being suppressed. From November's 63% implied volatility down to the current 44%, the market is losing its "fuel" for upward movem

BTC-1,22%

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GateUser-da373f75

38m ago

#比特币价格分析 Regarding the Bank of Japan's policies and the trend of Bitcoin, I recently came across some very interesting analytical perspectives.
In the short term, the market indeed faces some adjustment pressures—historical data shows that every time the BOJ raises interest rates, Bitcoin drops by over 20%. But if we look at the bigger picture, the underlying logic is quite thought-provoking.
Glassnode's analysis highlights a key point: the market isn't afraid of tightening itself, but rather of uncertainty. When central bank policies become clear, they actually provide the market with a tran

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SuckersNeverBowTheirHeads.

2h ago

#比特币价格分析 Looking at the latest data from Polymarket, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 again this year has dropped to 25%, which is a signal worth paying attention to.
In comparison, the probability of reaching $110,000 is even lower at 4%, while the chance of falling below $80,000 is actually at 22%, indicating that market expectations for the subsequent trend are turning more cautious. What does this inverted probability reflect? Mainly the current on-chain fund flows and institutional holding sentiment.
From a technical perspective, the end of the year is usually a period of liq

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Rice-eatingChainFriends

1h ago

#比特币价格分析 Seeing the data from Polymarket, a familiar feeling arose in my mind. With a 25% probability, there's actually an interesting cyclical story behind this number.
I still remember the end of 2017, when everyone was shouting that $100,000 was not a dream. At that time, the enthusiasm far exceeded today’s, and the optimistic sentiment on prediction sites was almost overwhelming. But history tends to repeat similar scripts—when everyone is optimistic about the same price, the market often gives a completely different answer. Looking at this 25% probability now, it somewhat reflects the gr

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GateUser-79b707e5

1h ago

#比特币价格分析 I was recently confused by the price movement of Bitcoin😅. Seeing such strong ETF buying pressure, why is BTC still unable to rise? I just figured it out today—it's because whales are playing "covered call options" as a fancy strategy!
Simply put: OG holders sell options to collect premiums, and market makers hedge their risk by selling Bitcoin in the spot market. As a result, although buying demand is strong, selling pressure also emerges, which keeps the price tightly suppressed😭
Even more painfully, the implied volatility has dropped from 63% in November to 44% now, indicating t

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EncryptionLittleBaby

1h ago

#比特币价格分析 The probability of Bitcoin rising again to $100,000 this year has already dropped to 25%, how pessimistic do you have to be to consider that? In my opinion, market sentiment is indeed shifting, and the forecasted probability of dropping below $80,000 is also 22%, indicating that everyone is feeling uncertain.
Based on this data, Bitcoin is likely to fluctuate between $80,000 and $100,000 by the end of the year, and breaking through new highs is indeed quite challenging. $110,000 is even more of a dream level, with only a 4% chance, which can basically be considered nonexistent.
The i

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Yuanbao123

2h ago

#比特币价格分析 Bitcoin has fallen below 90,000. The key support level at 86,000 will depend on whether it can hold in the coming week. U.S. economic data and central bank meetings are approaching, and currently, market trading volume is sluggish as everyone waits for signals.
From a technical perspective, if the 86,000 level is broken, there could be a deeper correction afterward, which will significantly impact the short-term interaction rhythm. However, this kind of volatility is actually a good opportunity to accumulate—low-risk projects have lower interaction costs, and the competition for aird

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GateUser-8d643caa

3m ago

#比特币价格分析 Seeing Jeff Park's analysis this time, it's quite interesting. Whales are using covered call options to suppress spot prices, while market makers hedge by dumping—this structural selling pressure can't be explained by simple selling.
Thinking carefully, this logic is actually very important for us copy traders. Those OG whales who have held positions for years have now shifted their operation logic from "speculating for gains" to "locking in profits," using options as a tool to earn premiums, which is essentially risk management. What does this tell us? The true big players no longer

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Self-cultivationAndMoral

11-06 04:34

The underlying reconstruction of the bullish logic for Bitcoin - this bull run is truly different from the past.
As someone who witnessed the pure emotional frenzy of the bull run in 2017, endured the repeated fluctuations of institutional testing in 2021, and navigated the bear market winter of 2022, I am increasingly convinced: the underlying logic of this round of Bitcoin's rise is no longer as simple as "historical cycles repeating." Its driving core has shifted from emotion-driven to structural reshaping. For this reason, this bull run is more robust, stronger, and has more long-term

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playerYU

11-06 16:05

When Trump announced under the spotlight in Miami that he would end the government's "war" on crypto assets and make the United States a "Bitcoin superpower," the signals from the entire market could not be clearer. This is not just another impromptu speech by a politician; it represents a fundamental shift in the attitude of the highest decision-making body in the United States towards crypto assets, especially Bitcoin.
Once upon a time, the crypto industry was groping in the fog of regulation, with severe price fluctuations causing many investors to feel doubt. But now, the situation is

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playerYU

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News

Analysis: Strategy fundraising will prioritize paying dividends and debt interest over purchasing more BTC, shifting the strategy to a defensive mode.

1 h

Lighter TGE and airdrop will take place within the year, with an airdrop ratio of 25% of the total supply and no lock-up period.

2 h

# BitcoinPriceAnalysis

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#2025GateYearEndSummary

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News

Analysis: Strategy fundraising will prioritize paying dividends and debt interest over purchasing more BTC, shifting the strategy to a defensive mode.

Lighter TGE and airdrop will take place within the year, with an airdrop ratio of 25% of the total supply and no lock-up period.

Brother Maqi has slightly increased ETH and HYPE long positions in the past 24 hours

A certain whale has longed for 27,000 ETH and shorted 250 BTC in the past two days.

Gate Alpha launches the 36th edition of the Points Treasure Hunt event, available for a limited time to claim UAI

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