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Greeks.live: The anticipated trade war and tariff battle are not yet over, and market uncertainty will continue for a long time.
Odaily News Greeks.live released a community briefing, this week the sentiment is relatively fearful. Trump’s frequent changes in tariff policies have greatly heightened market risk aversion. The expectation is that the trade war and tariff war are far from over, and market uncertainty will persist for a long time, and market fluctuations will also continue for a long time. The implied volatility (IV) of BTC has significantly decreased, currently maintaining around 50% across various maturities, while the IV of ETH remains at a high level, with medium to short-term volatility hovering around 80%. Therefore, selling ETH options in the short term would be a good choice. Currently, cryptocurrencies lack new capital influx and new narratives, and investor sentiment is relatively low. In this poor market situation of a bull-to-bear transition, the probability of a black swan event will significantly increase, making it a good choice to buy some deeply out-of-the-money put options.