MarketQuant

$BTC has crossed below the −2SD weekly volatility band at ~71.3k. I ran a backtest looking at forward 104-week (2-year) returns after $BTC ’s weekly close or low crossing below the −2SD and −3SD bands. This is not a bottom call -but when you combine this with current yearly

⚖️Valuation and Volatility Channels $BTC: Strongly oversold at -2.4 standard deviations Mean: $83853 Momentum: Bearish🔴 Volatility: Very High $ETH: Slightly oversold at -0.76 standard deviations Mean: $2712.3 Momentum: Bearish🔴 Volatility: High $SOL: Moderately oversold at

🔺Dominant Asset Rotation System Dominant Asset: 1.🟠 $BTC - SHORT🔴 2.🔵 $ETH- SHORT🔴 System exposure: 100% CASH

💫Medium Term Trend Directions $TOTAL : SHORT🔴| Score : -1 $BTC : SHORT🔴| Score : -1 $ETH : SHORT🔴| Score : -1 $SOL : SHORT🔴| Score : -1 $ETHBTC : SHORT🔴| Score : -0.89 $SOLBTC : SHORT🔴| Score: -0.89 $SOLETH : SHORT🔴| Score : -0.3🔽 ALTCOINS : LONG🟢| Score : 0.72🔽

⚖️Valuation and Volatility Channels $BTC: Strongly oversold at -2.2 standard deviations Mean: $85260 Momentum: Bearish🔴 Volatility: High $ETH: Slightly oversold at -0.65 standard deviations Mean: $2773.1 Momentum: Bearish🔴 Volatility: High $SOL: Moderately oversold at -1.92

🔺Dominant Asset Rotation System Dominant Asset: 1.🟠 $BTC - SHORT🔴 2.🔵 $ETH- SHORT🔴 System exposure: 100% CASH

💫Medium Term Trend Directions $TOTAL : SHORT🔴| Score : -1 $BTC : SHORT🔴| Score : -1 $ETH : SHORT🔴| Score : -1 $SOL : SHORT🔴| Score : -1 $ETHBTC : SHORT🔴| Score : -0.89 $SOLBTC : SHORT🔴| Score: -0.89 $SOLETH : SHORT🔴| Score : -0.16🔽 ALTCOINS : LONG🟢| Score : 0.69🔼

⚖️Valuation and Volatility Channels $BTC: Strongly oversold at -2.13 standard deviations Mean: $86362 Momentum: Bearish🔴 Volatility: High $ETH: Slightly oversold at -0.61 standard deviations Mean: $2828 Momentum: Bearish🔴 Volatility: High $SOL: Moderately oversold at -1.79

💫Medium Term Trend Directions $TOTAL : SHORT🔴| Score : -1 $BTC : SHORT🔴| Score : -1 $ETH : SHORT🔴| Score : -1 $SOL : SHORT🔴| Score : -1 $ETHBTC : SHORT🔴| Score : -0.89 $SOLBTC : SHORT🔴| Score: -0.89 $SOLETH : LONG🟢| Score : 0.24🔼 ALTCOINS : LONG🟢| Score : 0.43🔼

🔺Dominant Asset Rotation System Dominant Asset: 1.🟠 $BTC - SHORT🔴 2.🟣 $SOL- SHORT🔴 System exposure: 100% CASH

⚖️Valuation and Volatility Channels $BTC: Strongly oversold at -2.12 standard deviations Mean: $87161 Momentum: Bearish🔴 Volatility: High $ETH: Slightly oversold at -0.58 standard deviations Mean: $2877 Momentum: Bearish🔴 Volatility: High $SOL: Moderately oversold at -1.75

🔺Dominant Asset Rotation System Dominant Asset: 1.🟠 $BTC - SHORT🔴 2.🔵 $ETH - SHORT🔴 System exposure: 100% CASH

💫Medium Term Trend Directions $TOTAL : SHORT🔴| Score : -1 $BTC : SHORT🔴| Score : -1 $ETH : SHORT🔴| Score : -1 $SOL : SHORT🔴| Score : -1 $ETHBTC : SHORT🔴| Score : -0.89 $SOLBTC : SHORT🔴| Score: -0.89 $SOLETH : LONG🟢| Score : 0.22🔼 ALTCOINS : LONG🟢| Score : 0.23🔼

⚖️Valuation and Volatility Channels $BTC: Moderately oversold at -2.11 standard deviations Mean: $88129 Momentum: Bearish🔴 Volatility: High $ETH: Slightly oversold at -0.55 standard deviations Mean: $2937 Momentum: Bearish🔴 Volatility: High $SOL: Moderately oversold at

🔺Dominant Asset Rotation System Dominant Asset: 1.🟠 $BTC - SHORT🔴 2.🔵 $ETH - SHORT🔴 System exposure: 100% CASH

💫Medium Term Trend Directions $TOTAL : SHORT🔴| Score : -1 $BTC : SHORT🔴| Score : -1 $ETH : SHORT🔴| Score : -1 $SOL : SHORT🔴| Score : -1 $ETHBTC : SHORT🔴| Score : -0.89 $SOLBTC : SHORT🔴| Score: -0.89 $SOLETH : LONG🟢| Score : 0.02🔼 ALTCOINS : LONG🟢| Score : 0.2🔼

🔺Dominant Asset Rotation System Dominant Asset: 1.🟠 $BTC - SHORT🔴 2.🔵 $ETH - SHORT🔴 System exposure: 100% CASH

⚖️Valuation and Volatility Channels $BTC: Moderately oversold at -1.98 standard deviations Mean: $89213 Momentum: Bearish🔴 Volatility: Medium $ETH: Fairly valued at -0.46 standard deviations Mean: $2993 Momentum: Bearish🔴 Volatility: High $SOL: Moderately oversold at -1.65

💫Medium Term Trend Directions $TOTAL : SHORT🔴| Score : -0.75 $BTC : SHORT🔴| Score : -0.75 $ETH : SHORT🔴| Score : -1 $SOL : SHORT🔴| Score : -0.75 $ETHBTC : SHORT🔴| Score : -1🔽 $SOLBTC : SHORT🔴| Score: -0.75 $SOLETH : SHORT🔴| Score : -0.5 ALTCOINS : SHORT🔴| Score : 0

If you’re wondering why the valuations have such a big difference compared to yesterday, it’s because I increased the measured period from 3 months to 1 year.