Ryakpanda

#我在Gate广场过新年 Is the crypto bear market coming in 2026?
1. First, the conclusion: In 2026, the bear market is confirmed (as of February 2026). Based on technical, capital, and macro signals, the crypto market has shifted from a bull to a bear cycle.
★Bitcoin retraced over 50% from its 2025 high (around $140,000+), breaking below the ETF and MicroStrategy cost lines.
★Four consecutive monthly red candles, a pattern only seen during the deep bear in 2018.
★Since the start of 2026, BTC has fallen over 24%, ETH over 30%.
★Market sentiment: Extreme fear (Fear & Greed index at 11).
In one s

#我在Gate广场过新年 Bitcoin's "Rational Return": Market Outlook for 2026! Finding a New Balance Amid Diverging Consensus!
The Bitcoin market in 2026 is standing at an unprecedented crossroads. On one hand, it is emerging as a "new digital asset" in U.S. strategic reserves, incorporated into mainstream institutional balance sheets; on the other hand, its price has quietly fallen over 45% from last October's all-time high, and market sentiment has plunged into "extreme fear."
This year's trend will no longer be dominated solely by the simple "halving bull market" narrative but will involve a complex in

#我在Gate广场过新年 Cryptocurrency Market Depth Analysis: Key Support Battles Under Macro Pressure
February 19, 2026 — Bitcoin price retreated to around $66,900, down approximately 0.45% from yesterday. The latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes released hawkish signals, hinting at possible rate hikes. The market fear and greed index dropped to 9 (extreme fear). Currently, BTC is testing the critical support level at $65,000. If this support is broken, the price could decline toward $60,000; if it holds, a technical rebound may be expected. Investors should strictly control their positions and monit

#我在Gate广场过新年 Cryptocurrency Market Depth Analysis: Key Support Battles Under Macro Pressure
February 19, 2026, Bitcoin price retreated to around $66,900, down approximately 0.45% from yesterday. The latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes released hawkish signals, hinting at possible rate hikes. The market fear and greed index dropped to 9 (extreme fear). Currently, BTC is testing the critical support level at $65,000. If this support is broken, the price could decline toward $60,000; if it holds, a technical rebound may be expected. Investors should strictly control their positions and monito

Since 2022, the largest outflow of crypto assets has reflected multiple changes in the crypto market and industry, specifically as follows:
1. Investor Confidence Takes a Hit
Crisis of Trust: In 2022, the crypto market experienced several major events, such as the collapse of TerraUSD (UST) stablecoin, massive withdrawals from centralized exchanges like Cel, and the bankruptcy of FTX. These incidents severely damaged investors' trust in the crypto industry, leading many to withdraw their investments to avoid potential losses.
Increased Risk Awareness: The high volatility of crypto assets and t

#我在Gate广场过新年 Bitcoin finds support at the 200-week moving average; a clear macro environment is needed to restart the upward trend
On February 17, according to Wintermute research, as spot trading volume continues to shrink, leverage has become the main driver of short-term volatility. Without "structural buying" (long-term funds capable of absorbing selling pressure) to smooth out fluctuations, the market will experience sharp surges and drops on both the bullish and bearish sides.
From a technical perspective, BTC has found support near its 200-week moving average, which has historically bee

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#我在Gate广场过新年 Practical for personal use, presentable for gifting. Sharing my 2026 New Year shopping list
1. Home New Year Goods
Dried goods: cured meat / sausages, dried scallops / shiitake mushrooms, fruits / candies, nuts and roasted snacks
Alcohol & Tea: gift boxes of black tea / Pu'er tea, red wine / sparkling wine, whole boxes of milk / yogurt, sugar-free sparkling water
Decorations: Spring Festival couplets, 福 characters, window flowers, red lanterns, red envelopes, New Year flowers (silver willow, holly, butterfly orchids)
New Year’s Eve Hotpot: beef and lamb rolls, fresh fish and shri

#Apollo4年拟购入9000万枚MORPHO This time, Apollo's move is quite interesting. A Wall Street giant managing $900 billion in assets is actually buying 90 million MORPHO tokens. Traditional financial institutions' interest in DeFi has moved beyond just "watching" and is now actively entering with real capital.
Morpho is a decentralized lending protocol, simply put, an upgraded version of an "on-chain bank."
Traditional DeFi lending platforms like Aave and Compound use a "liquidity pool" model, where all users interact with the same large pool, which is not very efficient. Morpho, through a P2P match

#何时是最佳入场时机 The timing of market entry is difficult to predict precisely and requires a comprehensive assessment of multiple factors.
1. Market Sentiment Indicators
Fear and Greed Index: When the index is in extreme fear (e.g., below 20) or panic zones, it often indicates that market sentiment is overly pessimistic and may be approaching a short-term bottom. For example, in February 2026, Bitcoin's Fear and Greed Index dropped to 9, and historically, similar lows have often been followed by market rebounds.
Social Media and News Sentiment: If negative news is frequent and investors are general

#比特币下一步怎么走？ Bitcoin falls below $60,000. How low will this bear market go?
Since Bitcoin peaked at 126,000 on October 7 last year, the crypto market has entered a bear market. Given that it's a bear market, how low will this round go?
We can estimate using two methods.
Method 1: Based on current trends, estimate the decay in bear market declines.
Historically, each bear market in Bitcoin has seen decreasing declines, showing a linear decay trend. Therefore, the decline in this bear market will be less than the previous 77.6%, but the exact figure needs to be estimated.
Using the decline perce

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#俄罗斯央行研究发行稳定币 The Russian Central Bank's initiative aims to:
1. A Practical Response to Financial Sanctions
In the context of Western sanctions disrupting traditional cross-border payment channels, stablecoins are seen as a potential tool to bypass the SWIFT system and evade dollar settlement restrictions. Research into issuing stablecoins indicates that Russia is attempting to break through financial blockades through technological innovation to maintain its foreign trade payment capabilities.
2. Promoting De-dollarization Strategy
Issuing stablecoins pegged to the ruble (such as the already

#美SEC推进加密监管改革
1. Legislative Advocacy
SEC Chair Paul Atkins testified before the Senate in February 2026, actively promoting the Digital Asset Clarity Act, which aims to clearly define the jurisdictional boundaries between the SEC and CFTC over cryptocurrencies through legislation, addressing longstanding regulatory ambiguities. If passed, the bill will establish a regulatory framework for DeFi and stablecoins, but it requires support from at least seven Democratic senators to pass in the Senate.
2. Rule Refinement and Categorized Regulation
The SEC continues to improve crypto asset regulatio

#香港拟年内再推虚拟资产指引 The Introduction of the Affiliate Market Maker System: Hong Kong's Crypto Market Bids Farewell to the "Liquidity Shortage" Puzzle
On February 11, 2026, the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) issued a circular regarding the approval of virtual asset trading platform operators to accept affiliated market makers, marking a key move in the "three arrows" strategy (guaranteed financing, perpetual contracts, introduction of market makers): the first time licensed virtual asset trading platforms (VATPs) are permitted to have affiliated companies act as market makers on

#当前行情抄底还是观望？ The Bitcoin of 2025 has taken many on a rollercoaster ride—rising to a historic high of $126,000 in October before steadily declining. This is the first time since the halving that a downturn has occurred in the following year.
As 2026 progresses, the downward trend has not stopped; in early February, it dipped to $60,000 and is currently hovering around $67,000.
The so-called "four-year cycle" seems to be losing its grip, as Bitcoin has become deeply tied to the Federal Reserve's policy rhythm. Wall Street's outlook for 2026 is highly divided.
Among the optimists, JPMorgan,

#我在Gate广场过新年 The Fire Horse is here, bringing wealth. I wish everyone a Happy New Year🙏🏻🧨🎉❤️
May every friend:
Your family become super rich, assets reach the moon!
Bull market stacking, bear market Zen!
Never get phished, never get chopped in the market!
Wishing everyone:
Survive the bull and bear markets with joy;
Get rich on the chain, turn air into gold;
Team stays put, project stays trending;
Airdrops every day, blind boxes bursting with gold!
The New Year isn’t just about the God of Wealth arriving; let Gate’s market charts blow up your wallet—when it dips, when it rises, don’t panic

#比特币跌幅逼近历史极值 Bitcoin or sets a new longest consecutive decline record since the 2018 bear market, with a drop approaching historical extremes
On February 17th, the cryptocurrency market once again sent investors into a state of heightened nerves. According to well-known industry media Decrypt, Bitcoin is at an extremely dangerous historical juncture: if it cannot reverse the downward trend by the end of this month, Bitcoin will record its fifth consecutive month of decline.
This trend is not only astonishing but will also set the longest consecutive decline since the “epic” bear market of 2018